Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · Prva Liga - Final
KvarnerHOME · -
77 : 642024.04.25 · 종료
OsijekAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.5%
VALUE EDGE+67.5%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
KvarnerAnalysis MetricsOsijek
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+11.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.33
164.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.33
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
8.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kvarner
W · 78-92W · 93-70W · 95-72W · 71-75W · 107-74
Osijek
W · 73-83W · 99-69L · 82-65W · 98-62L · 97-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.01 | Kvarner | 90 : 72 | Osijek |
| 2024.04.28 | Osijek | 80 : 66 | Kvarner |
| 2024.04.25 | Kvarner | 77 : 64 | Osijek |
| 2024.02.25 | Kvarner | 72 : 78 | Osijek |
| 2023.11.19 | Osijek | 91 : 83 | Kvarner |
| 2023.05.11 | Osijek | 86 : 63 | Kvarner |
| 2023.04.16 | Kvarner | 96 : 99 | Osijek |
| 2023.03.15 | Kvarner | 76 : 63 | Osijek |
| 2022.12.12 | Osijek | 77 : 68 | Kvarner |