Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · Prva Liga - Semi-finals
SamoborHOME · -
73 : 832024.04.17 · 종료
OsijekAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.7%
VALUE EDGE+52.7%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
SamoborAnalysis MetricsOsijek
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-4.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.42
164.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.08
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation2.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Samobor
L · 99-69W · 82-65W · 90-101W · 86-79W · 80-85
Osijek
W · 99-69L · 82-65W · 98-62L · 97-93W · 72-99
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.17 | Samobor | 73 : 83 | Osijek |
| 2024.04.14 | Osijek | 99 : 69 | Samobor |
| 2024.04.06 | Samobor | 82 : 65 | Osijek |
| 2024.01.14 | Osijek | 96 : 77 | Samobor |
| 2023.02.06 | Osijek | 93 : 48 | Samobor |
| 2022.11.06 | Samobor | 74 : 85 | Osijek |