Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · Prva Liga - Semi-finals

KvarnerHOME · -

93 : 702024.04.14 · 종료

GoricaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY24.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +75.7%

VALUE EDGE+75.7%

FAIR ODDS1.32

GRADEA

KvarnerAnalysis MetricsGorica

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+10.17 Point MarginHigher is better +8.50

162.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.00

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

75.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

24.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kvarner

W · 95-72W · 71-75W · 107-74W · 70-84W · 80-73

Gorica

W · 70-91L · 71-75W · 75-82L · 80-85W · 85-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.16	Gorica	78 : 92	Kvarner
2024.04.14	Kvarner	93 : 70	Gorica
2024.03.29	Gorica	71 : 75	Kvarner
2023.12.24	Kvarner	94 : 71	Gorica