Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · Prva Liga - Semi-finals

OsijekHOME · -

99 : 692024.04.14 · 종료

SamoborAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY30.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +69.4%

VALUE EDGE+69.4%

FAIR ODDS1.44

GRADES

OsijekAnalysis MetricsSamobor

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+3.75 Point MarginHigher is better -4.33

155.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.67

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

69.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

30.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Osijek

L · 82-65W · 98-62L · 97-93W · 72-99W · 86-62

Samobor

W · 82-65W · 90-101W · 86-79W · 80-85W · 107-97

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.17	Samobor	73 : 83	Osijek
2024.04.14	Osijek	99 : 69	Samobor
2024.04.06	Samobor	82 : 65	Osijek
2024.01.14	Osijek	96 : 77	Samobor
2023.02.06	Osijek	93 : 48	Samobor
2022.11.06	Samobor	74 : 85	Osijek