Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 26

MarsoniaHOME · -
87 : 902024.04.08 · 종료
StojaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.5%
VALUE EDGE+74.5%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
MarsoniaAnalysis MetricsStoja
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-1.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.33
156.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.50
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
10.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Marsonia
L · 85-79W · 91-75W · 81-76L · 72-99W · 84-89
Stoja
W · 99-72L · 107-74L · 76-88L · 85-77L · 87-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.08 | Marsonia | 87 : 90 | Stoja |
| 2024.01.15 | Stoja | 80 : 88 | Marsonia |