Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 26
CrikvenicaHOME · -
69 : 902024.04.07 · 종료
HermesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME31.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+68.6%
VALUE EDGE+68.6%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEB
CrikvenicaAnalysis MetricsHermes
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-5.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.25
148.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.25
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
10.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Crikvenica
L · 98-62L · 86-79W · 69-65W · 64-74L · 84-89
Hermes
W · 85-98L · 82-69W · 77-79L · 98-84L · 69-102
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.01.11 | Hermes | 68 : 74 | Crikvenica |
| 2024.04.07 | Crikvenica | 69 : 90 | Hermes |
| 2024.01.14 | Hermes | 106 : 84 | Crikvenica |