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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 26
SamoborHOME · -
82 : 652024.04.06 · 종료
OsijekAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +59.0%
VALUE EDGE+59.0%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
SamoborAnalysis MetricsOsijek
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-4.33 Point MarginHigher is better +7.67
164.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.83
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
9.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation7.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
41.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
59.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Samobor
W · 90-101W · 86-79W · 80-85W · 107-97W · 87-92
Osijek
W · 98-62L · 97-93W · 72-99W · 86-62W · 72-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.17Samobor73 : 83Osijek
2024.04.14Osijek99 : 69Samobor
2024.04.06Samobor82 : 65Osijek
2024.01.14Osijek96 : 77Samobor
2023.02.06Osijek93 : 48Samobor
2022.11.06Samobor74 : 85Osijek