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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 25
GoricaHOME · -
71 : 752024.03.29 · 종료
KvarnerAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +65.0%
VALUE EDGE+65.0%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
GoricaAnalysis MetricsKvarner
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+8.50 Point MarginHigher is better +11.75
157.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.08
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation12.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
35.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
65.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gorica
W · 75-82L · 80-85W · 85-77W · 61-67W · 84-69
Kvarner
W · 107-74W · 70-84W · 80-73W · 69-102L · 72-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.16Gorica78 : 92Kvarner
2024.04.14Kvarner93 : 70Gorica
2024.03.29Gorica71 : 75Kvarner
2023.12.24Kvarner94 : 71Gorica