Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 25

KastelaHOME · -

85 : 792024.03.28 · 종료

MarsoniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY31.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +68.2%

VALUE EDGE+68.2%

FAIR ODDS1.47

GRADEA

KastelaAnalysis MetricsMarsonia

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+5.42 Point MarginHigher is better -1.00

147.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.83

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.3 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

68.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

31.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kastela

W · 72-84L · 70-84L · 61-67W · 80-81L · 71-72

Marsonia

W · 91-75W · 81-76L · 72-99W · 84-89L · 70-60

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.02.23	Kastela	86 : 70	Marsonia
2024.11.11	Marsonia	64 : 88	Kastela
2024.03.28	Kastela	85 : 79	Marsonia
2023.12.24	Marsonia	81 : 87	Kastela