Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 24
PodstranaHOME · -
72 : 842024.03.24 · 종료
KastelaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME26.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+74.0%
VALUE EDGE+74.0%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
PodstranaAnalysis MetricsKastela
0.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-19.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.42
158.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.92
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Podstrana
L · 89-77L · 77-79L · 86-62L · 64-67L · 102-70
Kastela
L · 70-84L · 61-67W · 80-81L · 71-72W · 84-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.24 | Podstrana | 72 : 84 | Kastela |
| 2023.12.16 | Kastela | 95 : 72 | Podstrana |