Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 24

MarsoniaHOME · -

91 : 752024.03.22 · 종료

MladostAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY48.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +51.4%

VALUE EDGE+51.4%

FAIR ODDS1.94

GRADEA

MarsoniaAnalysis MetricsMladost

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-1.00 Point MarginHigher is better -12.42

156.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.92

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.1 / 15

Prediction separation1.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

51.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

48.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Marsonia

W · 81-76L · 72-99W · 84-89L · 70-60L · 97-88

Mladost

W · 89-77L · 80-73W · 98-84W · 78-59L · 84-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.11.09	Mladost	70 : 75	Marsonia
2025.03.24	Marsonia	83 : 91	Mladost
2024.12.09	Mladost	87 : 67	Marsonia
2024.03.22	Marsonia	91 : 75	Mladost
2023.12.17	Mladost	80 : 66	Marsonia