Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 24

SamoborHOME · -

86 : 792024.03.22 · 종료

CrikvenicaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY25.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +75.0%

VALUE EDGE+75.0%

FAIR ODDS1.33

GRADEA

SamoborAnalysis MetricsCrikvenica

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-4.33 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58

164.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.42

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

75.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

25.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Samobor

W · 80-85W · 107-97W · 87-92L · 69-74W · 71-72

Crikvenica

W · 69-65W · 64-74L · 84-89W · 64-67L · 76-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.02.24	Samobor	68 : 66	Crikvenica
2024.11.10	Crikvenica	78 : 84	Samobor
2024.03.22	Samobor	86 : 79	Crikvenica
2023.12.17	Crikvenica	79 : 95	Samobor