Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 23
GoricaHOME · -
80 : 852024.03.17 · 종료
SamoborAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.1%
VALUE EDGE+66.1%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
GoricaAnalysis MetricsSamobor
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+8.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
157.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.67
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation13.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gorica
W · 85-77W · 61-67W · 84-69L · 89-84W · 83-59
Samobor
W · 107-97W · 87-92L · 69-74W · 71-72W · 97-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.03 | Gorica | 82 : 109 | Samobor |
| 2024.12.14 | Samobor | 77 : 65 | Gorica |
| 2024.03.17 | Gorica | 80 : 85 | Samobor |
| 2023.12.11 | Samobor | 85 : 74 | Gorica |