Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · 23

KastelaHOME · -

70 : 842024.03.16 · 종료

KvarnerAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME30.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY69.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 68.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +69.9%

VALUE EDGE+69.9%

FAIR ODDS1.43

GRADEB

KastelaAnalysis MetricsKvarner

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+5.42 Point MarginHigher is better +7.42

147.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.92

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.3 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

30.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

69.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kastela

L · 61-67W · 80-81L · 71-72W · 84-66W · 71-98

Kvarner

W · 80-73W · 69-102L · 72-78W · 76-92W · 92-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.16	Kastela	70 : 84	Kvarner
2023.12.10	Kvarner	73 : 59	Kastela
2023.04.23	Kvarner	87 : 82	Kastela
2023.03.19	Kastela	76 : 62	Kvarner
2023.01.22	Kastela	80 : 75	Kvarner