Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 22
MarsoniaHOME · -
72 : 992024.03.11 · 종료
OsijekAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.8%
VALUE EDGE+67.8%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
MarsoniaAnalysis MetricsOsijek
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-1.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.00
156.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.83
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Marsonia
W · 84-89L · 70-60L · 97-88W · 84-73L · 96-56
Osijek
W · 86-62W · 72-78W · 76-72L · 83-59W · 96-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.11 | Marsonia | 72 : 99 | Osijek |
| 2023.12.04 | Osijek | 99 : 60 | Marsonia |