Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 22
PodstranaHOME · -
77 : 792024.03.10 · 종료
HermesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+65.7%
VALUE EDGE+65.7%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEA
PodstranaAnalysis MetricsHermes
0.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-20.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.25
158.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.25
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Podstrana
L · 86-62L · 64-67L · 102-70L · 69-84L · 84-73
Hermes
L · 98-84L · 69-102W · 76-110W · 89-84L · 94-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.10 | Podstrana | 77 : 79 | Hermes |
| 2023.12.03 | Hermes | 93 : 79 | Podstrana |