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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 22
GoricaHOME · -
85 : 772024.03.09 · 종료
StojaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY15.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +84.6%
VALUE EDGE+84.6%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADEA
GoricaAnalysis MetricsStoja
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+8.50 Point MarginHigher is better -12.42
157.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 170.75
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
84.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
15.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gorica
W · 61-67W · 84-69L · 89-84W · 83-59W · 71-88
Stoja
L · 87-92L · 80-81L · 92-85W · 94-87L · 96-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.09Gorica85 : 77Stoja
2023.12.03Stoja79 : 69Gorica