Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 16

MladostHOME · -

98 : 842024.03.07 · 종료

HermesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY63.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +63.3%

VALUE EDGE+63.3%

FAIR ODDS1.58

GRADEA

MladostAnalysis MetricsHermes

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-12.42 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25

151.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.25

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation11.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

36.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

63.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mladost

W · 78-59L · 84-69W · 92-85L · 84-66L · 113-92

Hermes

L · 69-102W · 76-110W · 89-84L · 94-87L · 71-98

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.04.06	Hermes	64 : 90	Mladost
2024.12.22	Mladost	89 : 80	Hermes
2024.03.07	Mladost	98 : 84	Hermes
2023.10.22	Hermes	107 : 87	Mladost
2023.05.12	Mladost	74 : 92	Hermes
2023.01.28	Mladost	107 : 75	Hermes
2022.10.30	Hermes	105 : 81	Mladost