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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 21
StojaHOME · -
87 : 922024.03.04 · 종료
SamoborAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME29.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 72.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +71.0%
VALUE EDGE+71.0%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEB
StojaAnalysis MetricsSamobor
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-12.67 Point MarginHigher is better -4.33
169.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.67
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
29.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
71.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stoja
L · 80-81L · 92-85W · 94-87L · 96-70L · 59-91
Samobor
L · 69-74W · 71-72W · 97-88W · 113-92W · 99-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.04Stoja87 : 92Samobor
2023.11.27Samobor88 : 77Stoja
2023.04.30Samobor91 : 79Stoja
2023.04.02Stoja79 : 76Samobor
2023.01.08Stoja79 : 80Samobor
2022.10.10Samobor74 : 72Stoja