Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 21
KastelaHOME · -
61 : 672024.03.03 · 종료
GoricaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+50.4%
VALUE EDGE+50.4%
FAIR ODDS1.98
GRADEA
KastelaAnalysis MetricsGorica
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.50
147.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation0.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kastela
W · 80-81L · 71-72W · 84-66W · 71-98L · 65-60
Gorica
W · 84-69L · 89-84W · 83-59W · 71-88W · 103-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.01.12 | Kastela | 78 : 80 | Gorica |
| 2024.03.03 | Kastela | 61 : 67 | Gorica |
| 2023.11.26 | Gorica | 89 : 67 | Kastela |