Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 20
StojaHOME · -
80 : 812024.02.29 · 종료
KastelaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME23.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY76.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+76.6%
VALUE EDGE+76.6%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
StojaAnalysis MetricsKastela
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-13.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.42
170.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.92
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
10.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
11.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stoja
L · 92-85W · 94-87L · 96-70L · 59-91L · 116-88
Kastela
L · 71-72W · 84-66W · 71-98L · 65-60W · 64-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.29 | Stoja | 80 : 81 | Kastela |
| 2023.11.18 | Kastela | 88 : 86 | Stoja |
| 2023.02.26 | Stoja | 74 : 91 | Kastela |
| 2022.11.27 | Kastela | 92 : 77 | Stoja |