Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 19

HermesHOME · -

89 : 842024.02.18 · 종료

GoricaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY43.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +56.2%

VALUE EDGE+56.2%

FAIR ODDS1.78

GRADEA

HermesAnalysis MetricsGorica

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better +8.50

157.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.00

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.0 / 15

Prediction separation5.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

56.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

43.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Hermes

L · 94-87L · 71-98L · 85-91W · 106-84L · 92-95

Gorica

W · 83-59W · 71-88W · 103-94W · 88-77W · 87-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.25	Hermes	67 : 59	Gorica
2025.02.16	Hermes	68 : 63	Gorica
2024.11.03	Gorica	95 : 80	Hermes
2024.02.18	Hermes	89 : 84	Gorica
2023.11.12	Gorica	99 : 87	Hermes