Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · 18

SamoborHOME · -

97 : 882024.02.12 · 종료

MarsoniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY26.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 72.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +73.8%

VALUE EDGE+73.8%

FAIR ODDS1.36

GRADEA

SamoborAnalysis MetricsMarsonia

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.33 Point MarginHigher is better -1.00

164.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.83

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

4.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

73.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

26.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Samobor

W · 113-92W · 99-65W · 85-91L · 82-86L · 96-77

Marsonia

W · 84-73L · 96-56W · 83-79L · 88-77W · 80-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.04.18	Marsonia	98 : 77	Samobor
2025.01.20	Samobor	100 : 80	Marsonia
2024.02.12	Samobor	97 : 88	Marsonia
2023.11.05	Marsonia	79 : 81	Samobor