Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 18

StojaHOME · -

94 : 872024.02.11 · 종료

HermesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY66.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 68.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +66.2%

VALUE EDGE+66.2%

FAIR ODDS1.51

GRADEA

StojaAnalysis MetricsHermes

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-13.67 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25

169.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.25

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.7 / 15

Prediction separation13.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

33.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

66.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Stoja

L · 96-70L · 59-91L · 116-88L · 48-90L · 80-88

Hermes

L · 71-98L · 85-91W · 106-84L · 92-95W · 101-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.11	Stoja	94 : 87	Hermes
2023.11.05	Hermes	85 : 93	Stoja
2023.05.14	Hermes	121 : 78	Stoja
2023.02.19	Hermes	79 : 82	Stoja
2022.11.20	Stoja	79 : 89	Hermes