Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 18
GoricaHOME · -
83 : 592024.02.11 · 종료
OsijekAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.5%
VALUE EDGE+57.5%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
GoricaAnalysis MetricsOsijek
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+8.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.25
157.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.25
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gorica
W · 71-88W · 103-94W · 88-77W · 87-69L · 94-71
Osijek
W · 96-70W · 65-60W · 101-70W · 96-77W · 66-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.11 | Gorica | 83 : 59 | Osijek |
| 2022.10.19 | Osijek | 77 : 73 | Gorica |