Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 17

HermesHOME · -

71 : 982024.02.05 · 종료

KastelaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY37.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +62.7%

VALUE EDGE+62.7%

FAIR ODDS1.59

GRADEB

HermesAnalysis MetricsKastela

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better +5.42

157.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.92

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

11.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.4 / 15

Prediction separation10.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

62.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

37.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Hermes

L · 85-91W · 106-84L · 92-95W · 101-81L · 95-91

Kastela

L · 65-60W · 64-92L · 76-80W · 71-66W · 81-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.11.09	Kastela	74 : 73	Hermes
2025.03.23	Hermes	71 : 79	Kastela
2024.12.07	Kastela	127 : 64	Hermes
2024.02.05	Hermes	71 : 98	Kastela
2023.10.29	Kastela	80 : 86	Hermes
2023.01.16	Kastela	83 : 77	Hermes
2022.10.16	Hermes	60 : 89	Kastela