Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 16
OsijekHOME · -
65 : 602024.01.29 · 종료
KastelaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.0%
VALUE EDGE+76.0%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEA
OsijekAnalysis MetricsKastela
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.42
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.92
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Osijek
W · 101-70W · 96-77W · 66-80W · 91-85W · 69-75
Kastela
W · 64-92L · 76-80W · 71-66W · 81-87W · 95-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.29 | Osijek | 65 : 60 | Kastela |
| 2023.10.21 | Kastela | 74 : 79 | Osijek |
| 2023.04.13 | Osijek | 79 : 92 | Kastela |
| 2023.01.12 | Osijek | 87 : 76 | Kastela |
| 2022.10.09 | Kastela | 80 : 83 | Osijek |