Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 15

CrikvenicaHOME · -

64 : 922024.01.25 · 종료

KastelaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME24.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY75.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +75.8%

VALUE EDGE+75.8%

FAIR ODDS1.32

GRADEB

CrikvenicaAnalysis MetricsKastela

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-5.58 Point MarginHigher is better +5.42

148.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.92

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

24.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

75.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Crikvenica

L · 82-73L · 106-84L · 66-80L · 79-95L · 74-69

Kastela

L · 76-80W · 71-66W · 81-87W · 95-72L · 73-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.02.02	Crikvenica	52 : 64	Kastela
2024.10.21	Kastela	68 : 64	Crikvenica
2024.01.25	Crikvenica	64 : 92	Kastela
2023.10.15	Kastela	85 : 72	Crikvenica