Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 14

SamoborHOME · -

82 : 862024.01.22 · 종료

KvarnerAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY66.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 68.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +66.3%

VALUE EDGE+66.3%

FAIR ODDS1.51

GRADEA

SamoborAnalysis MetricsKvarner

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-4.33 Point MarginHigher is better +7.42

164.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.92

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

8.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.2 / 15

Prediction separation14.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

33.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

66.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Samobor

L · 96-77W · 102-89W · 79-95W · 85-74L · 91-77

Kvarner

W · 72-88W · 94-71W · 77-91W · 73-59W · 66-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.01.22	Samobor	82 : 86	Kvarner
2023.10.08	Kvarner	91 : 70	Samobor
2022.12.18	Kvarner	76 : 68	Samobor
2022.10.02	Samobor	61 : 65	Kvarner