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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 14
GoricaHOME · -
88 : 772024.01.22 · 종료
MarsoniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 72.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +70.7%
VALUE EDGE+70.7%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEA
GoricaAnalysis MetricsMarsonia
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+8.50 Point MarginHigher is better -1.00
157.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.83
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
70.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
29.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gorica
W · 87-69L · 94-71W · 68-59L · 85-74L · 79-69
Marsonia
W · 80-88L · 81-87L · 80-66W · 95-91L · 99-60

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.10.20Gorica94 : 82Marsonia
2024.01.22Gorica88 : 77Marsonia
2023.10.08Marsonia60 : 80Gorica