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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 14
KastelaHOME · -
76 : 802024.01.20 · 종료
JazineAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.2%
VALUE EDGE+57.2%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
KastelaAnalysis MetricsJazine
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+5.42 Point MarginHigher is better -0.42
147.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.92
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation6.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kastela
W · 71-66W · 81-87W · 95-72L · 73-59W · 68-64
Jazine
W · 77-85W · 92-95L · 91-85L · 68-57W · 74-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.02.09Kastela100 : 92Jazine
2024.10.28Jazine82 : 76Kastela
2024.01.20Kastela76 : 80Jazine
2023.10.08Jazine90 : 89Kastela
2023.03.08Kastela83 : 69Jazine
2022.12.03Jazine85 : 82Kastela