Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 13
StojaHOME · -
80 : 882024.01.15 · 종료
MarsoniaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.4%
VALUE EDGE+64.4%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEB
StojaAnalysis MetricsMarsonia
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-9.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.00
172.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.83
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.9 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stoja
L · 76-66L · 77-91L · 93-82W · 79-69L · 88-77
Marsonia
L · 81-87L · 80-66W · 95-91L · 99-60W · 102-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.08 | Marsonia | 87 : 90 | Stoja |
| 2024.01.15 | Stoja | 80 : 88 | Marsonia |