Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 13
HermesHOME · -
106 : 842024.01.14 · 종료
CrikvenicaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME87.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 89.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+87.4%
VALUE EDGE+87.4%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEB
HermesAnalysis MetricsCrikvenica
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.58
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
148.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hermes
L · 92-95W · 101-81L · 95-91W · 93-79L · 103-89
Crikvenica
L · 66-80L · 79-95L · 74-69L · 76-104L · 102-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.01.11 | Hermes | 68 : 74 | Crikvenica |
| 2024.04.07 | Crikvenica | 69 : 90 | Hermes |
| 2024.01.14 | Hermes | 106 : 84 | Crikvenica |