Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 13
OsijekHOME · -
96 : 772024.01.14 · 종료
SamoborAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.9%
VALUE EDGE+77.9%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADES
OsijekAnalysis MetricsSamobor
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.67
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Osijek
W · 66-80W · 91-85W · 69-75W · 99-60W · 74-92
Samobor
W · 102-89W · 79-95W · 85-74L · 91-77W · 88-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.17 | Samobor | 73 : 83 | Osijek |
| 2024.04.14 | Osijek | 99 : 69 | Samobor |
| 2024.04.06 | Samobor | 82 : 65 | Osijek |
| 2024.01.14 | Osijek | 96 : 77 | Samobor |
| 2023.02.06 | Osijek | 93 : 48 | Samobor |
| 2022.11.06 | Samobor | 74 : 85 | Osijek |