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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 12
KvarnerHOME · -
94 : 712023.12.24 · 종료
GoricaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.3%
VALUE EDGE+78.3%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
KvarnerAnalysis MetricsGorica
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+7.42 Point MarginHigher is better +8.50
165.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.00
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
21.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kvarner
W · 77-91W · 73-59W · 66-87W · 103-89L · 91-83
Gorica
W · 68-59L · 85-74L · 79-69W · 89-67W · 63-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.16Gorica78 : 92Kvarner
2024.04.14Kvarner93 : 70Gorica
2024.03.29Gorica71 : 75Kvarner
2023.12.24Kvarner94 : 71Gorica