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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 12
HermesHOME · -
92 : 952023.12.22 · 종료
JazineAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +75.7%
VALUE EDGE+75.7%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEB
HermesAnalysis MetricsJazine
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better -0.42
157.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.92
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
75.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
24.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hermes
W · 101-81L · 95-91W · 93-79L · 103-89W · 100-73
Jazine
L · 91-85L · 68-57W · 74-69W · 91-77L · 79-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.02Hermes78 : 97Jazine
2024.11.18Jazine129 : 80Hermes
2024.03.27Jazine85 : 98Hermes
2023.12.22Hermes92 : 95Jazine
2023.04.27Hermes98 : 91Jazine
2023.03.25Jazine96 : 104Hermes
2023.02.25Jazine83 : 94Hermes
2022.11.27Hermes78 : 90Jazine