Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 11
HermesHOME · -
101 : 812023.12.19 · 종료
KK ZagrebAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME70.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+70.0%
VALUE EDGE+70.0%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEB
HermesAnalysis MetricsKK Zagreb
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.50
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.50
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
8.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hermes
L · 95-91W · 93-79L · 103-89W · 100-73L · 99-87
KK Zagreb
L · 69-75W · 76-104W · 79-73W · 82-66W · 71-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.30 | KK Zagreb | 88 : 85 | Hermes |
| 2024.12.16 | Hermes | 75 : 79 | KK Zagreb |
| 2024.03.25 | KK Zagreb | 82 : 69 | Hermes |
| 2023.12.19 | Hermes | 101 : 81 | KK Zagreb |
| 2023.03.04 | Hermes | 96 : 91 | KK Zagreb |
| 2022.12.04 | KK Zagreb | 84 : 65 | Hermes |