Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 11

CrikvenicaHOME · -

79 : 952023.12.17 · 종료

SamoborAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY62.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +62.6%

VALUE EDGE+62.6%

FAIR ODDS1.60

GRADEA

CrikvenicaAnalysis MetricsSamobor

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-5.58 Point MarginHigher is better -4.33

148.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.67

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

6.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.4 / 15

Prediction separation10.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

37.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

62.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Crikvenica

L · 74-69L · 76-104L · 102-74W · 82-76L · 103-73

Samobor

W · 85-74L · 91-77W · 88-77L · 82-66L · 52-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.02.24	Samobor	68 : 66	Crikvenica
2024.11.10	Crikvenica	78 : 84	Samobor
2024.03.22	Samobor	86 : 79	Crikvenica
2023.12.17	Crikvenica	79 : 95	Samobor