Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · 11

MladostHOME · -

80 : 662023.12.17 · 종료

MarsoniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.3%

VALUE EDGE+59.3%

FAIR ODDS1.69

GRADEA

MladostAnalysis MetricsMarsonia

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-12.42 Point MarginHigher is better -1.00

151.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.83

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.8 / 15

Prediction separation8.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mladost

L · 72-67L · 66-87L · 78-74L · 63-82W · 68-94

Marsonia

W · 95-91L · 99-60W · 102-74L · 107-106L · 71-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.11.09	Mladost	70 : 75	Marsonia
2025.03.24	Marsonia	83 : 91	Mladost
2024.12.09	Mladost	87 : 67	Marsonia
2024.03.22	Marsonia	91 : 75	Mladost
2023.12.17	Mladost	80 : 66	Marsonia