Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 10
MarsoniaHOME · -
95 : 912023.12.11 · 종료
HermesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+65.9%
VALUE EDGE+65.9%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEB
MarsoniaAnalysis MetricsHermes
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-1.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.25
156.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.25
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation13.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Marsonia
L · 99-60W · 102-74L · 107-106L · 71-77L · 79-81
Hermes
W · 93-79L · 103-89W · 100-73L · 99-87L · 85-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.09 | Marsonia | 80 : 66 | Hermes |
| 2024.11.24 | Hermes | 71 : 93 | Marsonia |
| 2023.12.11 | Marsonia | 95 : 91 | Hermes |