Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 10
SamoborHOME · -
85 : 742023.12.11 · 종료
GoricaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+51.8%
VALUE EDGE+51.8%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
SamoborAnalysis MetricsGorica
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.50
164.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.00
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
8.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.6 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Samobor
L · 91-77W · 88-77L · 82-66L · 52-89W · 79-81
Gorica
L · 79-69W · 89-67W · 63-82W · 99-87W · 83-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.03 | Gorica | 82 : 109 | Samobor |
| 2024.12.14 | Samobor | 77 : 65 | Gorica |
| 2024.03.17 | Gorica | 80 : 85 | Samobor |
| 2023.12.11 | Samobor | 85 : 74 | Gorica |