Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 10
KvarnerHOME · -
73 : 592023.12.10 · 종료
KastelaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.4%
VALUE EDGE+69.4%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
KvarnerAnalysis MetricsKastela
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+7.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.42
165.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.92
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kvarner
W · 66-87W · 103-89L · 91-83W · 103-73W · 77-95
Kastela
W · 68-64L · 89-67W · 88-86W · 52-89W · 76-98
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.16 | Kastela | 70 : 84 | Kvarner |
| 2023.12.10 | Kvarner | 73 : 59 | Kastela |
| 2023.04.23 | Kvarner | 87 : 82 | Kastela |
| 2023.03.19 | Kastela | 76 : 62 | Kvarner |
| 2023.01.22 | Kastela | 80 : 75 | Kvarner |