Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · 8

MarsoniaHOME · -

102 : 742023.11.27 · 종료

CrikvenicaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY33.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 68.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +66.6%

VALUE EDGE+66.6%

FAIR ODDS1.50

GRADEA

MarsoniaAnalysis MetricsCrikvenica

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-1.00 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58

156.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.42

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

8.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.7 / 15

Prediction separation14.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

66.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

33.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Marsonia

L · 107-106L · 71-77L · 79-81L · 88-75L · 94-102

Crikvenica

W · 82-76L · 103-73L · 64-92L · 83-66W · 75-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.17	Marsonia	68 : 72	Crikvenica
2025.03.31	Crikvenica	85 : 75	Marsonia
2024.12.16	Marsonia	95 : 62	Crikvenica
2024.03.03	Crikvenica	84 : 89	Marsonia
2023.11.27	Marsonia	102 : 74	Crikvenica