Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Prva Liga Croatia · 8

SamoborHOME · -

88 : 772023.11.27 · 종료

StojaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY50.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +50.3%

VALUE EDGE+50.3%

FAIR ODDS1.99

GRADEA

SamoborAnalysis MetricsStoja

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-4.33 Point MarginHigher is better -9.58

164.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.75

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.5 / 15

Prediction separation0.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

49.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

50.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Samobor

L · 82-66L · 52-89W · 79-81W · 82-89W · 73-88

Stoja

L · 88-86L · 68-94W · 85-93L · 80-90L · 75-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.04	Stoja	87 : 92	Samobor
2023.11.27	Samobor	88 : 77	Stoja
2023.04.30	Samobor	91 : 79	Stoja
2023.04.02	Stoja	79 : 76	Samobor
2023.01.08	Stoja	79 : 80	Samobor
2022.10.10	Samobor	74 : 72	Stoja