Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 8
GoricaHOME · -
89 : 672023.11.26 · 종료
KastelaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.9%
VALUE EDGE+60.9%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEB
GoricaAnalysis MetricsKastela
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+4.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.42
158.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
147.92
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.7 / 15
Prediction separation9.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gorica
W · 63-82W · 99-87W · 83-66W · 67-83L · 61-78
Kastela
W · 88-86W · 52-89W · 76-98L · 80-86L · 74-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.01.12 | Kastela | 78 : 80 | Gorica |
| 2024.03.03 | Kastela | 61 : 67 | Gorica |
| 2023.11.26 | Gorica | 89 : 67 | Kastela |