Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · 8

KvarnerHOME · -

103 : 892023.11.26 · 종료

HermesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY37.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +62.6%

VALUE EDGE+62.6%

FAIR ODDS1.60

GRADEA

KvarnerAnalysis MetricsHermes

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+7.42 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25

165.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.25

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation10.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

62.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

37.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kvarner

L · 91-83W · 103-73W · 77-95W · 83-77W · 94-102

Hermes

W · 100-73L · 99-87L · 85-93W · 80-86W · 107-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.03	Hermes	69 : 102	Kvarner
2023.11.26	Kvarner	103 : 89	Hermes
2023.01.08	Hermes	56 : 80	Kvarner
2022.10.10	Kvarner	82 : 59	Hermes