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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 6
MarsoniaHOME · -
71 : 772023.11.13 · 종료
KK ZagrebAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +55.3%
VALUE EDGE+55.3%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
MarsoniaAnalysis MetricsKK Zagreb
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-1.00 Point MarginHigher is better +6.50
156.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.50
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation4.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
55.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Marsonia
L · 79-81L · 88-75L · 94-102W · 75-77L · 60-80
KK Zagreb
L · 83-77W · 78-36W · 61-78W · 97-70L · 86-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.11KK Zagreb70 : 65Marsonia
2025.03.16KK Zagreb97 : 75Marsonia
2024.12.02Marsonia77 : 76KK Zagreb
2024.02.18KK Zagreb70 : 60Marsonia
2023.11.13Marsonia71 : 77KK Zagreb