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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 6
KvarnerHOME · -
103 : 732023.11.12 · 종료
CrikvenicaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.8%
VALUE EDGE+81.8%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEA
KvarnerAnalysis MetricsCrikvenica
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+7.42 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58
165.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.42
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kvarner
W · 77-95W · 83-77W · 94-102W · 99-57W · 91-70
Crikvenica
L · 64-92L · 83-66W · 75-69L · 85-72L · 74-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.19Crikvenica76 : 92Kvarner
2023.11.12Kvarner103 : 73Crikvenica