Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · 6

GoricaHOME · -

99 : 872023.11.12 · 종료

HermesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME31.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY68.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 68.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +68.1%

VALUE EDGE+68.1%

FAIR ODDS1.47

GRADEA

GoricaAnalysis MetricsHermes

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+4.83 Point MarginHigher is better -4.25

158.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.25

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.3 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

31.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

68.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Gorica

W · 83-66W · 67-83L · 61-78W · 60-80L · 78-88

Hermes

L · 85-93W · 80-86W · 107-87W · 75-84L · 100-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.25	Hermes	67 : 59	Gorica
2025.02.16	Hermes	68 : 63	Gorica
2024.11.03	Gorica	95 : 80	Hermes
2024.02.18	Hermes	89 : 84	Gorica
2023.11.12	Gorica	99 : 87	Hermes