Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · 5

HermesHOME · -

85 : 932023.11.05 · 종료

StojaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY24.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +75.9%

VALUE EDGE+75.9%

FAIR ODDS1.32

GRADEA

HermesAnalysis MetricsStoja

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better -9.58

157.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.75

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

75.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

24.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Hermes

W · 80-86W · 107-87W · 75-84L · 100-69W · 121-78

Stoja

L · 80-90L · 75-69L · 97-70L · 121-78W · 105-98

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.11	Stoja	94 : 87	Hermes
2023.11.05	Hermes	85 : 93	Stoja
2023.05.14	Hermes	121 : 78	Stoja
2023.02.19	Hermes	79 : 82	Stoja
2022.11.20	Stoja	79 : 89	Hermes